Aplicación de un modelo basado en procesos de patrones de sismicidad pre – eruptiva al volcán Ubinas, episodio eruptivo 2019
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47347/incasciences.v1i1.26Palabras clave:
Sismicidad repetitiva, Actividad magmática, Patrones sísmicos, Pronóstico de erupciones, Episodio eruptivo, Volcán UbinasResumen
Utilizando un conjunto de datos de monitoreo del volcán Ubinas, se aplicó un modelo conceptual de patrones de sismicidad pre eruptiva al episodio eruptivo del 2019 con el objetivo de identificar posibles precursores de sismicidad a fin de ayudar en el pronóstico de futuras erupciones en este volcán. El modelo contempla cuatro etapas de sismicidad basadas en procesos geológicos: La etapa 1, caracterizada por la ocurrencia de sismicidad profunda asociada a una intrusión de magma en profundidad; la etapa 2, con la ocurrencia de sismos Volcano–tectónicos distales en respuesta a una intrusión de magma en el reservorio de la corteza superior; la etapa 3, dominada por sismicidad asociada a la limpieza de conductos, y la etapa 4, correspondiente a la ocurrencia
de sismicidad repetitiva asociada al ascenso final de magma. En el episodio eruptivo 2019 del volcán Ubinas, se identificaron las tres etapas finales: la etapa de sismicidad asociada con la intrusión de nuevo magma (etapa 2), la etapa de sismicidad asociada a la apertura y limpieza de conductos dentro del sistema volcánico (etapa 3) y la etapa de sismos repetitivos superficiales que sugirieron un ascenso de magma hasta niveles muy someros sin observarse la presencia de lava en superficie (etapa 4). Debido a que Ubinas es un sistema activo con frecuentes erupciones, la etapa 2 fue muy breve; sin embargo, se logró identificar mejor la transición de una fase de actividad freato-magmática a magmática. El modelo permite proporcionar una interpretación de los procesos basados en las observaciones del monitoreo del volcán Ubinas y además, ayudará en la evaluación de futuros disturbios
y contribuirá para el pronóstico de erupciones.
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